Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.060817 1.207165 1.366602 1.553241 1.765810 2.000467 2.279294
2025-12-07 0.810350 1.003178 1.231621 1.522436 1.883206 2.316613 2.877728
2025-12-14 0.661255 0.867744 1.126995 1.476826 1.937403 2.524320 3.331149
2025-12-21 0.567800 0.781427 1.062667 1.460707 2.010939 2.746880 3.809749
2025-12-28 0.517778 0.742686 1.051247 1.506485 2.163126 3.079315 4.460889
2026-01-04 0.457441 0.680693 0.998411 1.484813 2.213492 3.269236 4.923840
2026-01-11 0.423685 0.652071 0.988207 1.520592 2.346437 3.585203 5.596919
2026-01-18 0.387516 0.615207 0.960868 1.525775 2.430723 3.832380 6.184783
2026-01-25 0.350737 0.573129 0.920616 1.505341 2.470562 4.010979 6.676986
2026-02-01 0.315891 0.530358 0.874650 1.470113 2.481174 4.140815 7.097562
2026-02-08 0.285720 0.492154 0.832142 1.435649 2.488137 4.262540 7.511916
2026-02-15 0.267038 0.471439 0.816463 1.444420 2.568105 4.511913 8.167213
2026-02-22 0.243775 0.442897 0.788794 1.436992 2.632305 4.763151 8.896548
2026-03-01 0.219148 0.409813 0.750716 1.408624 2.659180 4.957181 9.556849
2026-03-08 0.195845 0.376384 0.708128 1.366470 2.654381 5.090224 10.113425
2026-03-15 0.178992 0.353163 0.681743 1.351573 2.698831 5.318788 10.879677
2026-03-22 0.170885 0.345934 0.684764 1.393880 2.859389 5.787946 12.181888
2026-03-29 0.156577 0.324751 0.658274 1.373852 2.891201 6.002560 12.980021
2026-04-05 0.149257 0.317024 0.657769 1.406918 3.036095 6.462610 14.352267
2026-04-12 0.139818 0.303827 0.644639 1.411707 3.120816 6.804155 15.503132
2026-04-19 0.129129 0.286816 0.621764 1.392823 3.151399 7.031360 16.421588
2026-04-26 0.118321 0.268422 0.594085 1.360266 3.147578 7.181456 17.178025
2026-05-03 0.108609 0.251497 0.567957 1.328414 3.141726 7.325695 17.936101